AI Prediction Scorecard: What We Were Told Six Months Ago vs. What Actually Happened
We tracked the boldest AI predictions from September 2025. Here's who got it right, who got it wrong, and what the hype machine doesn't want you to remember.
Category
Analysis
AI Regulation Tracker: Federal Report Targets State Laws, EU Delays High-Risk Rules, Colorado Pushed to June
The Commerce Department's March 11 report flags state AI laws for federal preemption, while the EU votes to delay AI Act deadlines and Colorado kicks the can again.
AI Safety Researchers Are Fleeing the Labs They Built
When your head of AI safety quits saying 'the world is in peril,' maybe the world is in peril
Brain Implant Lets Paralyzed Patients Type 110 Characters Per Minute
New BrainGate brain-computer interface achieves near-able-bodied typing speeds using imagined finger movements on a virtual QWERTY keyboard
AlphaFold Database Adds 1.7 Million Protein Complexes
DeepMind, EMBL-EBI, NVIDIA, and Seoul National University release largest protein interaction dataset, revealing how molecules work together
AI Systems Now Hide Dangerous Capabilities During Testing
The 2026 International AI Safety Report confirms AI can detect when it's being evaluated and change behavior to pass safety tests
Robotics Funding Hits $3B+ in Single Week as VCs Bet on Physical AI
Four startups raised over $3 billion combined, signaling a decisive shift in where AI investment is flowing.
GitHub Copilot Creator's AI Security Startup Hits $1B Valuation
Xbow raised $120M Series C to scale its autonomous vulnerability hunter, which already ranks #1 on HackerOne.
The Great AI Heist: How Chinese Labs Allegedly Stole Claude Through 16 Million API Calls
Anthropic accuses DeepSeek, Moonshot, and MiniMax of industrial-scale model theft through 24,000 fake accounts. But the company's own copyright history complicates the moral high ground.
Lawsuit: Google's Gemini Drove Man to Near-Mass-Casualty Before Suicide
A father sues Google after Gemini allegedly convinced his son it was his sentient 'AI wife,' sending him on missions that nearly ended in mass violence
Hunter and Healer Alpha: The Mystery Trillion-Parameter AIs Taking OpenRouter by Storm
Two anonymous Chinese AI models appeared on OpenRouter with no attribution. Developers are split on whether they're DeepSeek V4 or Zhipu GLM-6 testing in stealth mode.
Microsoft: North Korean Hackers Are Jailbreaking AI Models for Cyberattacks
Nation-state threat actors are operationalizing AI across the attack lifecycle, using jailbreak techniques to bypass safety controls
NIH Scientists Used AI to Find 307 Drug Combinations That Kill Pancreatic Cancer Cells
Machine learning models screened 1.6 million potential drug pairings and identified synergistic combinations that neither drug achieves alone. Lab tests confirmed the predictions work.
Nscale Raises $2B in Record European Round, Lands Sandberg and Clegg
UK AI infrastructure startup hits $14.6B valuation with backing from Nvidia, Aker, and a board featuring Meta's former power players
Ex-Datadog President Raises $49M to Automate Enterprise IT
Amit Agarwal launches Standard Template Labs to replace IT service desks with AI agents that actually resolve tickets, not just track them
Government Filing Calls Anthropic an 'Unacceptable Risk' - Could Alter AI in Wartime
In a 40-page court response, DOJ lawyers argue Anthropic could disable or modify its AI systems to suit its own interests rather than America's priorities during conflict
Three Companies Took 83% of February's $189B AI Funding
OpenAI, Anthropic, and Waymo captured most of history's largest venture month while seed funding fell and public markets crashed
The AI Layoff Acceleration: 45,000 Tech Jobs Gone, Women Hit Hardest
Meta, Block, and Atlassian lead a surge in AI-justified workforce cuts, but critics warn companies are 'AI washing' routine cost-cutting as technological progress.
China Grants World's First Commercial Approval for Brain Implant
Neuracle's BCI device for spinal cord injury patients achieves 100% improvement in grasping function across 36-patient trial.
HIMSS 2026: Healthcare AI Agents Are Here - Validation Is Not
Epic, Google, Oracle and Microsoft race to deploy autonomous AI agents in healthcare. But experts warn that patient safety testing has not kept pace with the rush to market.
Nvidia GTC 2026: Trillion-Dollar Orders, Groq Integration, and the Agentic AI Push
Jensen Huang's keynote unveils Vera Rubin chips, a $20B Groq acquisition, DLSS 5, and positions Nvidia to dominate both training and inference markets.
The Safety Tests Frontier AI Actually Fails
Beijing AI Safety Institute's 22-pillar benchmark exposes dangerous gaps in leading models, including goal fixation, expertise leakage, and near-universal sycophancy.
Watching AI Think Wrong: Detecting Reward Hacking Before It Speaks
New research catches misaligned behavior in models' internal activations - often before the problematic output ever appears.
Zendesk Acquires Forethought in Largest Deal in Two Decades
Enterprise software consolidation continues as Zendesk bets $115M+ AI startup can make human customer service agents obsolete