AI Prediction Scorecard: October 2025 Edition — Six Months of Receipts
We tracked the boldest AI predictions from October 2025 and scored them against April 2026 reality. Spoiler: the crystal balls are still broken.
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Sam Altman Hands Off AI Safety to Build Data Centers - OpenAI Bets Everything on 'Spud'
OpenAI's CEO delegates safety oversight to focus on infrastructure. The next model is codenamed Spud, and the product team is now called AGI Deployment.
Yann LeCun's $1 Billion Bet: World Models Will Beat LLMs
After 12 years at Meta, the Turing Award winner raised the largest European seed round ever to prove the AI industry got it wrong.
AI Prediction Scorecard: What We Were Told Six Months Ago vs. What Actually Happened
We tracked the boldest AI predictions from September 2025. Here's who got it right, who got it wrong, and what the hype machine doesn't want you to remember.
The Prediction Reckoning: What AI Leaders Promised Six Months Ago vs. What Actually Happened
Dario Amodei said 90% of code would be AI-written by September. Elon Musk said AGI would arrive in 2025. The World Economic Forum predicted 85 million jobs displaced. Time to check the receipts.